Modern Epidemiological Approaches to Disease Surveillance and Outbreak Predictions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63163/jpehss.v4i1.1004Keywords:
Epidemiological Surveillance, Outbreak Prediction, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Digital Epidemiology, Genomic Sequencing, Wastewater-Based Epidemiology, Agent-Based Modeling, Global Health Security, One HealthAbstract
This paper explores the evolution of epidemiological approaches to disease surveillance and outbreak prediction, transitioning from traditional indicator-based systems to advanced data-driven methodologies. It examines the integration of big data, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), natural language processing (NLP), digital epidemiology, genomic surveillance, wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE), and advanced modeling techniques like agent-based models (ABM) and spatial-temporal hybrids. Key discussions include the role of non-traditional data streams such as social media, mobile data, wearables, and IoT in enabling real-time monitoring and early warning systems. Regional challenges in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), particularly Pakistan and Balochistan, are highlighted, alongside case studies from Ebola outbreaks in Africa. Ethical considerations, data privacy, and future directions toward global pathogen networks and equitable health systems are also addressed. The paper emphasizes a multidisciplinary One Health framework to enhance global health security and prevent pandemics.
